Photo: Courtesy of AMPAS
Oscar Futures: Is ‘Juno’ This Year’s ‘Little Miss Sunshine’?
Every week between now and January 22, Vulture’s Oscar Futures will listen to insider gossip, comb the Oscar blogs, and out-and-out guess when necessary to track who’s up, who’s down, and who’s currently leading the race for a coveted nomination.
Best Picture | UP: Juno. It's the only award hopeful left with a light touch. Could it be this year's Little Miss Sunshine? | DOWN: Charlie Wilson's War. Reports of reshoots denied by the studio, but could the wolves be circling? |
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CURRENT PREDIX: American Gangster, Atonement, |
Best Director | UP: Sidney Lumet, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead. Previously: out of touch. Now: the inspiration for a new wave of serious filmmaking. | DOWN: Chris Weitz, The Golden Compass. Negative buzz in the New York Post seems maybe planted, but we're getting nervous. |
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CURRENT PREDIX: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood; Ethan and Joel Coen, No Country for Old Men; Sean Penn, Into the Wild; Ridley Scott, American Gangster; Joe Wright, Atonement | ||
Best Actor | UP: Denzel Washington, American Gangster. Audience awareness suggests huge opening weekend. | DOWN: Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl. If Manohla Dargis didn't destroy his chances, his weird departure from The Lovely Bones might. |
CURRENT PREDIX: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood; James McAvoy, Atonement; George Clooney, Michael Clayton; Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah; Denzel Washington, American Gangster | ||
Best Actress | UP: Tang Wei, Lust, Caution. Named to Variety's Actors to Watch list, though it's still an uphill battle. | DOWN: Halle Berry, Things We Lost in the Fire. Dismal box office, plus Academy members actually losing things to fires, have doomed this movie's hopes. |
CURRENT PREDIX: |
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Best Supporting Actor | UP: Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild. Veteran actor heads into hospital for pneumonia but will campaign in November. | DOWN: Benicio Del Toro, Things We Lost in the Fire. See above. |
CURRENT PREDIX: |
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Best Supporting Actress | UP: Jennifer Garner, Juno. Big star. Movie on the rise. But is she any good? | DOWN: Marisa Tomei, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead. Her performance is solid, but reviewers aren't writing about it — except for those who ogle her nude scene. |
CURRENT PREDIX: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There; Romola Garai, Atonement; Vanessa Redgrave, Atonement; Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone; Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton |
Previous Oscar Futures: October 19
Tags:
- oscars
- oscar futures
- movies
- juno
- charlie wilson's war
- sidney lumet
- before the devil knows you're dead
- chris weitz
- the golden compass
- denzel washington
- american gangster
- ryan gosling
- lars and the real girl
- tang wei
- lust caution
- halle berry
- things we lost in the fire
- hal holbrook
- into the wild
- benicio del toro
- jennifer garner
- marisa tomei
- kudos
- More