Photo: Courtesy of AMPAS
Every week between now and January 22, Vulture's Oscar Futures will listen to insider gossip, comb the Oscar blogs, and out-and-out guess when necessary to track who's up, who's down, and who's currently leading the race for a coveted nomination.
| Best Picture |  UP: Charlie Wilson's War. First everyone was excited. Then bad buzz killed it almost dead. But its five Globe nominations have Mike Nichols's movie on the rise again — and it still hasn't even opened yet! |
 DOWN: Into the Wild. Broadcast Film Critics gave it a boost early in the week, but Globe shutout means Sean Penn's film is lost in the awards wilderness. |
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| CURRENT PREDIX: American Gangster, Atonement, Juno, Michael Clayton, No Country for Old Men | ||
| Best Director |  UP: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood. Sweep of the L.A. critics could push him into the Designated Auteur slot at the Oscars. |
 DOWN: Sidney Lumet, Before the Devil Knows You're Dead. Locked out of the Globes, and even the New York critics didn't recognize him — after NYFCC chief Armond White passionately argued that Lumet is a hack during the org's awards lunch. |
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| CURRENT PREDIX: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood, Ethan and Joel Coen, No Country for Old Men; |
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| Best Actor |  UP: Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises. Surprising love for Viggo and the film from the Globes breathes life into the much-admired actor's chances.. |
 DOWN: Mathieu Amalric, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly. The movie got three Globe nominations — which makes it all the more worrisome that Amalric's performance wasn't recognized. |
| CURRENT PREDIX: Mathieu Amalric, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly; Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood; Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd; James McAvoy, Atonement; Denzel Washington, American Gangster | ||
| Best Actress |  UP: Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart. Julie Christie might be the Oscar front-runner, but given the HFPA's love of hot stars, we'd bet money that Jolie will win the Globe. |
 DOWN: Laura Linney, The Savages. She's been an Oscar favorite before, but even a last-minute switch to Comedy couldn't net her a Globe nom. |
| CURRENT PREDIX: Amy Adams, Enchanted; Julie Christie, Away From Her; Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose; Keira Knightley, Atonement; Ellen Page, Juno | ||
| Best Supporting Actor |  UP: John Travolta, Hairspray. A beloved movie star in drag: How could the Golden Globes resist? |
 DOWN: Russell Crowe, American Gangster. The HFPA's decision that this role was a lead hurt his chances at a supporting nomination down the road. |
| CURRENT PREDIX: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men; Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood; Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War; Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild; Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton | ||
| Best Supporting Actress |  UP: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone. The respected actress made a clean sweep of the critics' awards this week… |
 DOWN: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There …even the New York Film Critics' Circle, an award everyone thought was Blanchett's to lose. |
| CURRENT PREDIX: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There; |
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