||UP: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood. Hysterical crowds and fawning profiles everywhere make him this year's Designated Auteur in the Director field. Can Paramount Vantage pull a Picture nomination out of its hat?
||DOWN: Joe Wright, Atonement. The movie's losing juice as more and more viewers are underwhelmed, and as a young director Wright's the film's weakest nomination link.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood; Ethan and Joel Coen, No Country for Old Men; Sean Penn, Into the Wild; Ridley Scott, American Gangster; Joe Wright, Atonement
||UP: George Clooney, Michael Clayton. Things are looking rosier for Clooney, who had a respectable showing in the critics' awards and who is a master of the self-deprecating (but slyly self-promoting) campaign.
||DOWN: Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd. Depp's being done no favors by an ad campaign that laughably tries to sell the film as a sunny lark.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Mathieu Amalric, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly; George Clooney, Michael Clayton; Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood; Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd; James McAvoy, Atonement;
|Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises
||UP: Ellen Page, Juno. The adorable star is everywhere supporting her movie at a time many stars, wary of strike drama, are avoiding the promotions circuit.
||DOWN: Keira Knightley, Atonement. "Wait a minute," viewers suddenly realize. "Her character isn't even the lead in her own movie!"
|CURRENT PREDIX: Julie Christie, Away From Her; Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose; Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart; Keira Knightley, Atonement; Ellen Page, Juno
|Best Supporting Actor
||UP: Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford. A surprise Golden Globe nom is a manifestation of the affection many have for his excellent performances this year.
||DOWN: Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood. Everyone loves Daniel Day-Lewis – so much so that it's getting tough to draw attention to Dano's showy role.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford; Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men;
|Paul Dano, There Will Be Blood; Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War; Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild; Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton
|Best Supporting Actress
||UP: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone. Replaces Cate Blanchett atop the LAT's Buzzmeter, and thanks to a role on The Wire, remains in the public eye.
||DOWN: Jennifer Garner, Juno. We don't know why no one is paying attention to her sensitive performance, but no one is.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There; Ruby Dee, American Gangster; Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson's War; Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone; Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton