||UP: Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino. The details of the plot were finally revealed. Sure sounds like something they'd nominate him for, right?
||DOWN: Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon. Again, stinky reviews make this seem unlikely.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire; Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino; David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button;
|Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon; Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road; Gus Van Sant, Milk
||UP: Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon. Reviews for the movie aren't great, but, according to critics who've seen it, he's great in the role that already won him a Tony.
||DOWN: Viggo Mortensen, The Road. Maybe next year!
|CURRENT PREDIX: Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road; Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon; Sean Penn, Milk; Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Mickey Rourke, The Wrestler
||UP: Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky. Everybody's flipping over the movie. Also, she's adorable.
||DOWN: Melissa Leo, Frozen River. Sure, she's excellent — but where did the buzz go?
|CURRENT PREDIX: Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married; Angelina Jolie, Changeling; Kristen Scott Thomas, I've Loved You So Long; Meryl Streep, Doubt; Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road
|Best Supporting Actor
||UP: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt. Nobody's seen his movie yet, but with supporting-actor showcases The Soloist and The Road on ice till 2009, his nomination feels like a sure thing.
||DOWN: Jamie Foxx, The Soloist. He seemed like a safe bet — until Paramount pushed back his movie until next March.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Josh Brolin, Milk;
|Jamie Foxx, The Soloist; Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt; Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight; Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Road; Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road; Michael Sheen, Frost/Nixon
|Best Supporting Actress
||UP: Kate Winslet, The Reader. Even if the movie is released half-edited and without a soundtrack, how can the Academy resist nominating her? They can't.
||DOWN: Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married. If anyone from Rachel scores a nod in this category, we bet it's Rosemarie DeWitt.
|Kathy Bates, Revolutionary Road, Penélope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona; Rosemarie DeWitt, Rachel Getting Married; Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler; Debra Winger, Rachel Getting Married; Kate Winslet, The Reader