||UP: Danny Boyle, 127 Hours. Reviews for the movie at Toronto are ecstatic: "127 Hours elevated far above typical rescue story by Boyle's eye for detail and strategically deployed flash," tweets the L.A. Times' Steven Zeitchik.
||DOWN: Sofia Coppola, Somewhere. Did her movie win the Gold Lion at Venice just because her buddy Quentin Tarantino was the jury president? Who knows, but the accusation doesn't help her.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Danny Boyle, 127 Hours; David Fincher, The Social Network; Tom Hooper, The King's Speech; Mike Leigh, Another Year; Christopher Nolan, Inception.
||UP: Javier Bardem, Biutiful. After just two days at TIFF, Movieline's S.T. Vanairsdale raved, "if festivalgoers see anything better this week in Toronto [than Bardem's or Natalie Porman's Black Swan performance], then all of us are in for one hell of a bounty in the months ahead."
||DOWN: Robert Duvall, Get Low. This is becoming a pretty crowded race — can he maintain his early momentum?
|CURRENT PREDIX: Javier Bardem, Biutiful; Robert Duvall, Get Low; Colin Firth, The King's Speech; James Franco, 127 Hours; Mark Wahlberg, The Fighter.|
|Best Actress ||UP: Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole. Her performance is allegedly her best in years, and Lionsgate just bought the movie, with plans to release it by year's end. ||DOWN: Robin Wright, The Conspirator. Reviews for her performance were solid-ish, too, but Lionsgate also bought Conspirator and is mulling a release in the Oscar-proof month of March.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right; Anne Hathaway, Love and Other Drugs; Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole; Lesley Manville, Another Year; Natalie Portman, Black Swan..
|Best Supporting Actor
||UP: Justin Timberlake, The Social Network. Geoffrey Rush (The King's Speech) and Christian Bale (The Fighter) both have their own buzz this week. But just the mere possibility — raised here, here, and here — of Timberlake (Justin Timberlake!) being nominated for an Oscar is worthy of mention here.
||DOWN: Sam Rockwell, Conviction.
He's allegedly great. The movie's allegedly not.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Christian Bale, The Fighter; Andrew Garfield, The Social Network; Sam Rockwell, Conviction; Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right; Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech.
|Best Supporting Actress
||UP: Melissa Leo, The Fighter. Lookin' good in the trailer.
||DOWN: Amy Adams, The Fighter. Props for trying, but we're not sure we buy her as a tough-talking bartender.
|CURRENT PREDIX: Helena Bonham-Carter, The King's Speech; Melissa Leo, The Fighter; Miranda Richardson, Made in Dagenham; Sissy Spacek, Get Low; Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit.