Are the Oscars Best Actor Races Down to Affleck vs. Washington and Costner vs. Ali?

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This week on the Awards Show Show, Vulture's Kyle Buchanan and The Frame's John Horn touch on some of the surprising omissions of the Independent Spirit Award nominations, before moving on to the real nitty-gritty: Which men are going to be nominated in Best Actor and Best Supporting Actor? Does Casey Affleck have a chance against Denzel Washington? In Best Supporting Actor, is there even a front-runner?

Listen as we try to figure it out, and subscribe to the Awards Show Show on iTunes.