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Oscar Futures

Who’s up, who’s down, and who’s currently leading the race for a coveted Oscar nomination.

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Oscar Futures: Our Final Predictions for the Nominees

 Ahead of Tuesday’s nominations, enjoy Vulture’s official predictions for the eight biggest Oscar races. By Nate Jones

More Oscar Futures

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    Oscar Futures: The 12 Contenders of ChristmasAs the awards circus takes a midseason break, let’s zoom out to take stock of the Best Picture field.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Avatar: The Way of Water Crack the Best Picture Race?The original Avatar came close to winning Best Picture. Way of Water will be a presence in the race, too.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Will The Whale Sink or Swim?Finally out this weekend, Darren Aronofsky’s film has been met with critical harpoons.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Is the Academy Ready to Forgive Will Smith?He’s banned from the ceremony for the next ten years, but could Will Smith nab a nomination for Emancipation anyway?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Will Damien Chazelle’s Babylon Go Bust?Damien Chazelle’s Jazz Age orgy earned poisonous buzz in its L.A. premiere. But it only takes a few die-hards to see a misunderstood masterpiece.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Is The Fabelmans Still Our Front-runner?Steven Spielberg’s autobiographical time capsule debuts on the back of a starry AFI Fest relaunch and a rapturous Academy screening.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Jennifer Lawrence Win Back the Oscars Crowd?Plus, Alejandro Iñárritu returns with his trimmed-down Bardo.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Tár and Everything Everywhere Compete for Hipster HeartsThe two Best Actress vehicles are also facing off in the battle to become the season’s tastemaker pick.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Banshees of Inisherin Banter Its Way to a Trophy?Martin McDonagh’s In Bruges reunion is the most universally regarded contender to bow thus far.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can She Said Get Voters Talking?Harvey Weinstein created the modern Oscars. Can the drama about his downfall become an awards contender?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: A Tár Is Born?Cate Blanchett is getting raves as a manipulative maestro in Todd Field’s drama. Could she get her third trophy, too?
    By Nate Jones
  12. oscar futures
    Welcome to the First Oscars of the Post-Slap EraWake up. It’s awards season again.
    By Nate Jones
  13. oscar futures
    The New Rules of Oscars SeasonAs we stand on the precipice of another awards season, here are four crucial lessons to remember about the way the Academy works now.
    By Nate Jones
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    Are You Ready for This Year’s Incredibly Messy Best Actor Race?In The Whale and The Son, two of the strongest Best Actor contenders come from films a chunk of the critical community absolutely loathed.
    By Nate Jones
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    Will This Finally Be Michelle Williams’s Year?Williams is the emotional backbone of Steven Spielberg’s The Fabelmans, and this puts her in an Oscars sweet spot.
    By Nate Jones
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    Vulture’s Final 2022 Oscar Predictions for Every CategoryMany categories, including Best Picture, seem like genuine fifty-fifty calls.
    By Nate Jones
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    Did the SAG Awards Just Show Us the Oscar Acting Winners?In the past decade, the guild’s picks lined up exactly with the eventual Oscar winners four times.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Our Last-minute Guess at the NomineesIn a season that has been anything but normal, prepare for some surprises.
    By Nate Jones
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    Which Borderline Best Picture Contenders Can Get Off the Bubble?Six films. Two spots. Who will fill out Oscar’s Best Picture lineup?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Who’s in the Lead As Voting Begins?With two open spots in Best Picture, Being the Ricardos and Tick, Tick … Boom! got a boost from the PGA. Can they both get in?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Power of the Dog Break the Netflix Curse?The road to Best Picture runs through Director and Screenplay, and Jane Campion’s Western has a fair shot at picking up both.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: How SAG’s Shocking Snubs Shook Up the RaceIt was a good week for House of Gucci and a very bad one for the house of Spencer.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Could Nicolas Cage Surprise Us in Best Actor?As the Will Smith buzz cools, the ostensible front-runner has taken a back seat in the conversation.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Spider-Man Swing Into the Awards Race?No Way Home’s superpowered box-office could sway the Academy into a more populist stance.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: How the Globes and Critics Choice Shaped the ConversationThis week’s set of precursor nominations are hardly definitive, but together they at least give a sense of who’s in the race.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Is Nicole Kidman the New Best Actress Front-runner?Why Nicole Kidman’s transformative turn as Lucille Ball could earn her trophy No. 2.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Spielberg’s West Side Story Is Feeling PrettyThe long-delayed remake of the 1962 Best Picture winner couldn’t have asked for a better first week.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can the Star-Studded Don’t Look Up Make an Impact?Early viewers have come away from Adam McKay’s asteroid comedy convinced the smartypants satirist has done it again.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Is King Richard an Awards-Season Smash?In Will Smith, the tennis-dad biopic has the Best Actor front-runner. But where else can the film compete?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Will Gaga and Haim Give Us a Pop-Star Showdown in Best Actress?Gucci Gucci, Ridley Ridley, Lady Lady, Gaga. Twitter critics love this film, but will it win an Oscar?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Eternals Is Not the Awards-Friendly Blockbuster That Was PromisedChloé Zhao’s Eternals hits theaters this week as the most tepidly received MCU entry since Thor: The Dark World.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Dune Spice Up the Awards Race?On paper, Dune is the kind of prestige blockbuster whose Oscar success would please all camps. But will the box-office flow?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Who’s in Front As the Race Kicks Off?Kenneth Branagh’s Belfast was the belle of Toronto, with King Richard and The Power of the Dog also drawing raves.
    By Nate Jones
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    ’Scuse Me, Sir, Can I Interest You in Some Oscars?What will the 2022 Oscars look like? And, more importantly, will anyone care?
    By Nate Jones
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    This Year’s Best Actress Race Could Spark a Full-On Stan WarThe actresses who have made the strongest early impressions are also the ones with the most extremely invested fan bases.
    By Nate Jones
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    Vulture’s Final 2021 Oscars Predictions for Every CategoryThe longest awards season ever finally comes to an end.
    By Nate Jones
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    Who the Heck Is Going to Win Best Actress?Oscars Night will arrive with each precursor having named a different Best Actress winner. Which nominee really has the edge?
    By Nate Jones
  38. awards season
    Nomadland Wins Best Picture at 2021 Producers Guild AwardsOther winners included Soul and My Octopus Teacher.
    By Charu Sinha
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    Oscar Futures: Our Last, Best Guess at the NominationsNow that PGA, DGA, and BAFTA have weighed in, who are we picking?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Surprise Globe Winners Keep Up Momentum?As Oscar voting gets underway this week, the Globes gave the Academy a vision of Nomadland and Andra Day triumphant.
    By Nate Jones
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    How the Golden Globe Results Just Changed the Oscar RaceWith Oscar nomination voting beginning this week, how did the HFPA’s picks affect the race?
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Why the Amazon Debate Won’t Hurt Nomadland’s ChancesWe suspect this narrative is likely to remain a Film Twitter-only thing.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Can Black Messiah Rise Again?After a disappointing showing at the initial precursors, late arrival Judas and the Black Messiah is picking up momentum.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Could Minari Be This Year’s Underdog Success Story?With glowing reviews, the Korean-immigrant drama is kind of emotionally potent contender that could do well on a preferential ballot.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: After Globe and SAG Noms, the Race Finally Gets RealJared Leto shows up, Glenn Close shows out, and The Trial of the Chicago 7 proves its bona fides.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Da 5 Bloods Storms Back Into the RaceTime has come today for Spike Lee’s Vietnam epic.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Will the Malcolm & Marie Backlash Sink Its Chances?Critics have called the film “masturbatory,” “blinkered,” “shouty,” “hammy,” and “shrill.” (And those are the ones who liked it!)
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Nomadland Aces the Season’s First TestWith a trio of auspicious wins, Nomadland has solidified its status as the cinephile’s choice in the Best Picture race.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: The Fifth Awards Season of the Trump EraWednesday’s insurrection at the Capitol is a sign that, while we may be through with the Trump era, the Trump era is not through with us.
    By Nate Jones
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    Oscar Futures: Could the Globes Controversy Benefit Minari in the Long Run?The modest indie just got a groundswell of support at a time when other would-be contenders are struggling to break through.
    By Nate Jones
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